Merida AD 3-2 Ourense CF — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Spain - Primera Federación, 7 Dec 2025

Merida AD WWDWD→
3 - 2 HT 1 - 1
Ourense CF DWWWW→
📅07/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Federación – 2025/2026

Merida AD vs Ourense CF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 06:07
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.12
Away
25%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
61%
1.61
Over
39%
2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.36
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
16%
4.69
6+
3%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
2%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Merida AD v Ourense CF — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Merida AD The Market 48%
Signal
AWAY Ourense CF The Market 31%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.42 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.93
0.99 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.20
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3 Yellow Cards 4

Merida AD 3-2 Ourense CF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
3 - 2
AWAY Ourense CF
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Merida AD vs Ourense CF
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Merida AD shaded a tight game against Ourense CF 3-2. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Merida AD as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (61%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Merida AD had 55% of the ball to Ourense CF's 45%, shots finished 17-8.

Merida AD vs Ourense CF Result & Final Score

Merida AD 3 - 2 Ourense CF in the Spain - Primera Federación on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Merida AD vs Ourense CF Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 44%, draw 31%, Ourense CF 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merida AD) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merida AD) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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