Algeciras 1-0 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.44
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.7pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.17/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.08
-1% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.03.2025 Algeciras Algeciras 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
11.01.2025 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 1-1 HT 1-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
28.04.2024 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 3-1 HT 3-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
26.11.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 2-2 HT 1-2 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
1-0
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algeciras squeezed past Atletico Madrid II 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Algeciras found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Algeciras had 39% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II's 61%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Algeciras and 1.50 for Atletico Madrid II.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Atletico Madrid II?

Algeciras 1-0 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algeciras win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 34%, draw 32%, Atletico Madrid II 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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