Algeciras 1-0 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
5.01
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.1pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.2pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.15/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.04
+0% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
262 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
11.01.2025 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 1-1 HT 1-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
28.04.2024 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 3-1 HT 3-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
26.11.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 2-2 HT 1-2 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
1-0
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algeciras edged past Atletico Madrid II 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Algeciras made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Algeciras had 37% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II's 63%, shots finished 5-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid II led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Algeciras and 2.00 for Atletico Madrid II.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Atletico Madrid II?

Algeciras 1-0 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 33%, draw 32%, Atletico Madrid II 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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