Atletico Madrid II 1-1 Algeciras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.26
6+ Goals
8%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Algeciras EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.82/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.18
+14% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Algeciras
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2024 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 3-1 HT 3-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
26.11.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 2-2 HT 1-2 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
1-1
AWAY Algeciras
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs Algeciras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II and Algeciras couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Madrid II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 55% of the ball to Algeciras's 45%, shots finished 22-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Atletico Madrid II and 1.50 for Algeciras.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Algeciras?

Atletico Madrid II 1-1 Algeciras in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Algeciras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 44%, draw 29%, Algeciras 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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