Ponferradina vs Sestao River Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ponferradina v Sestao River — Team-Based Signals
Ponferradina vs Sestao River Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Ponferradina
İS3
Ponferradina 1-2 Sestao River — Actual Match Statistics
Sestao River edged past Ponferradina 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Ponferradina at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Ponferradina had 55% of the ball to Sestao River's 45%, shots finished 16-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ponferradina had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ponferradina and 0.50 for Sestao River.
What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Sestao River?
Ponferradina 1-2 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Sestao River?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 48%, draw 26%, Sestao River 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.