Ourense CF vs Lugo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ourense CF v Lugo — Team-Based Signals
Ourense CF 2-1 Lugo — Actual Match Statistics
Ourense CF squeezed past Lugo 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Ourense CF found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ourense CF had 61% of the ball to Lugo's 39%, shots finished 14-8.
What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Lugo?
Ourense CF 2-1 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Lugo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ourense CF win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 38%, draw 29%, Lugo 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ourense CF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.