Celta Vigo II 2-1 Real Sociedad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
17.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 32% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.1pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +11%
1.35/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.82
+28% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
340 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses 18.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Real Sociedad II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 0.29
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
544 Passes 261
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
04.05.2024 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 0-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
26.11.2023 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 1-2 HT 0-2 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo II
2-1
AWAY Real Sociedad II
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II edged past Real Sociedad II 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celta Vigo II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Celta Vigo II had 45% of the ball to Real Sociedad II's 55%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Celta Vigo II and 1.00 for Real Sociedad II.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II?

Celta Vigo II 2-1 Real Sociedad II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 45%, draw 26%, Real Sociedad II 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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