Atletico Madrid II 3-1 Algeciras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.43
6+ Goals
10%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Algeciras EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
2.12/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.15
+31% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Algeciras
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 2-2 HT 1-2 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
3-1
AWAY Algeciras
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs Algeciras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II beat Algeciras 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Madrid II as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 53% of the ball to Algeciras's 47%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Algeciras?

Atletico Madrid II 3-1 Algeciras in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Algeciras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 50%, draw 25%, Algeciras 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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