CD Castellon 1-0 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.25
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.03
2-3 Goals
42%
1.96
4-5 Goals
23%
2.75
6+ Goals
10%
7.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
76%
-10.1pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.3pp
13%
Away Win
8%
+4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.19/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.35
+24% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -28%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
465 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Melilla
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3 Corners 1
03.09.2023 Melilla Melilla 1-2 HT 0-1 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
1-0
AWAY Melilla
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon squeezed past Melilla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Castellon as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, CD Castellon had 63% of the ball to Melilla's 37%, shots finished 12-3.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Melilla?

CD Castellon 1-0 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 66%, draw 21%, Melilla 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
28 Apr 2024
13:00 Cultural Leonesa vs Gimnastic Tarragona Analysis →
13:00 Atletico Baleares vs Intercity Alicante Analysis →
13:00 Antequera vs UD Ibiza Analysis →
17:00 Tarazona vs Real Sociedad II Analysis →
17:00 Cordoba vs Malaga Analysis →
18:00 Real Murcia vs Ceuta Analysis →