Cordoba 1-0 Malaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.5
6+ Goals
11%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 34% vs market 32.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cordoba EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Malaga EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.85/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.32
+23% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cordoba
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Malaga
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.34 xG 1.90
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
316 Passes 308
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Malaga Malaga 1-1 HT 0-1 Cordoba Cordoba İS3
02.03.2019 Cordoba Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
15.09.2018 Malaga Malaga 3-0 HT 2-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
11.08.2018 Malaga Malaga 1-0 HT 0-0 Cordoba Cordoba HAZ
20.12.2016 Malaga Malaga 3-4 HT 2-2 Cordoba Cordoba İSPK
30.11.2016 Cordoba Cordoba 2-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cordoba
1-0
AWAY Malaga
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Cordoba vs Malaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cordoba nicked a narrow win over Malaga 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Cordoba had 52% of the ball to Malaga's 48%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cordoba and 1.50 for Malaga.

What was the final score of Cordoba vs Malaga?

Cordoba 1-0 Malaga in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cordoba vs Malaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cordoba 47%, draw 28%, Malaga 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cordoba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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