Cultural Leonesa 3-0 Gimnastic Tarragona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.41
Over 2.5
34%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
6.6
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.2pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
67%
-1.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
33%
+1.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.5pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.36/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.15
+0% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural Leonesa
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
382 Passes 250
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.11.2023 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 3-0 HT 2-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
19.05.2018 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 5-3 HT 0-2 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS2
17.12.2017 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 2-0 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural Leonesa
3-0
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Cultural Leonesa vs Gimnastic Tarragona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural Leonesa ran out comfortable winners over Gimnastic Tarragona 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Cultural Leonesa found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Cultural Leonesa had 46% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 54%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gimnastic Tarragona led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cultural Leonesa and 2.67 for Gimnastic Tarragona.

What was the final score of Cultural Leonesa vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Cultural Leonesa 3-0 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural Leonesa vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural Leonesa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cultural Leonesa 40%, draw 29%, Gimnastic Tarragona 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural Leonesa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cultural Leonesa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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