Atletico Baleares 1-2 Intercity Alicante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.38
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.06
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 43%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.84/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.24
-20% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Baleares
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Intercity Alicante
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
12.03.2023 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 2-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
27.11.2022 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 0-0 HT 0-0 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Baleares
1-2
AWAY Intercity Alicante
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Baleares vs Intercity Alicante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Intercity Alicante edged past Atletico Baleares 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Intercity Alicante found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Baleares had 46% of the ball to Intercity Alicante's 54%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico Baleares and 0.67 for Intercity Alicante.

What was the final score of Atletico Baleares vs Intercity Alicante?

Atletico Baleares 1-2 Intercity Alicante in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Baleares vs Intercity Alicante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Intercity Alicante win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Atletico Baleares 34%, draw 31%, Intercity Alicante 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Intercity Alicante) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Intercity Alicante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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