Hercules 3-2 UD Ibiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.28
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.86
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+3.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.3pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hercules EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.70/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.53
+48% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +98%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hercules
1W-1D-1L
AWAY UD Ibiza
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 1-1 HT 0-0 Hercules Hercules İS3
21.02.2021 Hercules Hercules 1-0 HT 0-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
29.11.2020 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 1-0 HT 0-0 Hercules Hercules İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hercules
3-2
AWAY UD Ibiza
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Hercules vs UD Ibiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hercules squeezed past UD Ibiza 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was UD Ibiza at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hercules had 50% of the ball to UD Ibiza's 50%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hercules and 0.67 for UD Ibiza.

What was the final score of Hercules vs UD Ibiza?

Hercules 3-2 UD Ibiza in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hercules vs UD Ibiza?

Before kick-off our model rated an UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hercules 34%, draw 26%, UD Ibiza 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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