UD Ibiza 1-1 Hercules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.26
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.42
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.8pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hercules EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -16%
1.11/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.21
-26% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Ibiza
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hercules
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.02.2021 Hercules Hercules 1-0 HT 0-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
29.11.2020 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 1-0 HT 0-0 Hercules Hercules İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Ibiza
1-1
AWAY Hercules
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UD Ibiza vs Hercules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ibiza and Hercules couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was UD Ibiza at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, UD Ibiza had 52% of the ball to Hercules's 48%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for UD Ibiza and 0.50 for Hercules.

What was the final score of UD Ibiza vs Hercules?

UD Ibiza 1-1 Hercules in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Ibiza vs Hercules?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split UD Ibiza 42%, draw 30%, Hercules 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UD Ibiza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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