Ceuta 2-2 Atletico Sanluqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.89
6+ Goals
9%
17.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Sanluqueno EU Bookmakers 18%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.01/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.68
+18% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceuta
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico Sanluqueno
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
17.03.2024 Ceuta Ceuta 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno İS3
25.11.2023 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno 1-1 HT 0-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs Atletico Sanluqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta and Atletico Sanluqueno shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ceuta at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ceuta had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ceuta and 0.50 for Atletico Sanluqueno.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs Atletico Sanluqueno?

Ceuta 2-2 Atletico Sanluqueno in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Atletico Sanluqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 54%, draw 25%, Atletico Sanluqueno 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ceuta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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