Ceuta 3-0 Atletico Sanluqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 Mar 2024

Ceuta
3-0 HT 2-0
Atletico Sanluqueno
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2023/2024

Ceuta vs Atletico Sanluqueno Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.6
Over 2.5
33%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.68
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.53 — our 37% vs market 33.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.2pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
59%
+8.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
41%
-8.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ceuta v Atletico Sanluqueno — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Sanluqueno EU Bookmakers 25%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
0.84/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.27
-45% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.4

Ceuta vs Atletico Sanluqueno Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceuta
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico Sanluqueno
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno 1-1 HT 0-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs Atletico Sanluqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta swept aside Atletico Sanluqueno 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ceuta as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs Atletico Sanluqueno?

Ceuta 3-0 Atletico Sanluqueno in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Atletico Sanluqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 43%, draw 32%, Atletico Sanluqueno 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceuta), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ceuta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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