Real Union 1-3 Real Sociedad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.35
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.15
6+ Goals
7%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.4pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Union EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.15/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.75
+9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
256 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Union
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Real Sociedad II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.40 xG 3.46
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
179 Passes 465
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 2-2 HT 1-2 Real Union Real Union İS3
11.02.2023 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Union Real Union İS3
22.10.2022 Real Union Real Union 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
20.02.2021 Real Union Real Union 3-1 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
22.11.2020 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Union Real Union İS3
15.12.2019 Real Union Real Union 2-2 HT 2-1 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Union
1-3
AWAY Real Sociedad II
1.20 xG 1.57
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 9
307 Passes 262
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Union vs Real Sociedad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad II beat Real Union 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Real Sociedad II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Union had 54% of the ball to Real Sociedad II's 46%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.20 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Union and 1.33 for Real Sociedad II.

What was the final score of Real Union vs Real Sociedad II?

Real Union 1-3 Real Sociedad II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Union vs Real Sociedad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Union win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Real Union 36%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad II 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Union) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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