Malaga 1-0 Intercity Alicante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.6
6+ Goals
11%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malaga EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 21%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +17%
1.21/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.32
-25% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malaga
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Intercity Alicante
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.01.2024 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 2-2 HT 1-0 Malaga Malaga İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malaga
1-0
AWAY Intercity Alicante
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Malaga vs Intercity Alicante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malaga edged past Intercity Alicante 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Malaga as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Malaga had 59% of the ball to Intercity Alicante's 41%, shots finished 19-12.

What was the final score of Malaga vs Intercity Alicante?

Malaga 1-0 Intercity Alicante in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malaga vs Intercity Alicante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Malaga 48%, draw 25%, Intercity Alicante 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malaga), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malaga) ✓ BTTS No
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