Intercity Alicante 2-2 Malaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Jan 2024

📅02/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.25
6+ Goals
8%
21.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 33% vs market 31.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+6.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Malaga EU Bookmakers 48%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.64/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/1.00
+53% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Intercity Alicante
2-2
AWAY Malaga
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Intercity Alicante vs Malaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Intercity Alicante and Malaga couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Intercity Alicante had 43% of the ball to Malaga's 57%, shots finished 17-13.

What was the final score of Intercity Alicante vs Malaga?

Intercity Alicante 2-2 Malaga in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Intercity Alicante vs Malaga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Intercity Alicante 34%, draw 29%, Malaga 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Malaga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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