Lugo 0-1 Celta Vigo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Jan 2024

📅02/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
5.4
6+ Goals
9%
36.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.3pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+8.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 36%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.61/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.84
-47% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
261 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Celta Vigo II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
06.08.2017 Lugo Lugo 1-0 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugo
0-1
AWAY Celta Vigo II
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lugo vs Celta Vigo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II edged past Lugo 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celta Vigo II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lugo had 60% of the ball to Celta Vigo II's 40%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of Lugo vs Celta Vigo II?

Lugo 0-1 Celta Vigo II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugo vs Celta Vigo II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lugo 32%, draw 27%, Celta Vigo II 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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