Real Murcia 1-1 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Jan 2024

Real Murcia
1-1 HT 0-0
Atletico Madrid II
📅02/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2023/2024

Real Murcia vs Atletico Madrid II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.25
6+ Goals
10%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+8.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Murcia v Atletico Madrid II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
1.07/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.89
-15% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Real Murcia 1-1 Atletico Madrid II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Murcia
1-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Real Murcia vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia and Atletico Madrid II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Murcia had 55% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II's 45%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Real Murcia vs Atletico Madrid II?

Real Murcia 1-1 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Murcia vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Murcia 36%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid II 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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