Algeciras 2-3 Recreativo Huelva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Jan 2024

📅02/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
15%
5.85
6+ Goals
10%
42.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.0pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Recreativo Huelva EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.27/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.80
+1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +40%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Recreativo Huelva
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2021 Algeciras Algeciras 3-1 HT 2-1 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS3
22.12.2019 Algeciras Algeciras 0-0 HT 0-0 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS3
28.03.2004 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva 1-0 HT 1-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS2
25.10.2003 Algeciras Algeciras 2-2 HT 0-1 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
2-3
AWAY Recreativo Huelva
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Recreativo Huelva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Recreativo Huelva edged past Algeciras 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Algeciras at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Algeciras had 43% of the ball to Recreativo Huelva's 57%, shots finished 10-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Algeciras and 1.00 for Recreativo Huelva.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Recreativo Huelva?

Algeciras 2-3 Recreativo Huelva in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Recreativo Huelva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algeciras win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 42%, draw 29%, Recreativo Huelva 29%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Algeciras) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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