Atletico Baleares 0-2 San Fernando — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.08
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
6.16
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY San Fernando EU Bookmakers 42%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.94/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.88
-11% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Baleares
1W-2D-0L
AWAY San Fernando
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 San Fernando San Fernando 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
28.05.2022 San Fernando San Fernando 0-4 HT 0-2 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
09.02.2022 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 1-1 HT 1-0 San Fernando San Fernando İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Baleares
0-2
AWAY San Fernando
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Atletico Baleares vs San Fernando
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Fernando beat Atletico Baleares 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; San Fernando found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Baleares had 55% of the ball to San Fernando's 45%, shots finished 4-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Baleares had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico Baleares and 0.67 for San Fernando.

What was the final score of Atletico Baleares vs San Fernando?

Atletico Baleares 0-2 San Fernando in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Baleares vs San Fernando?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Fernando win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico Baleares 33%, draw 29%, San Fernando 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Fernando), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Fernando) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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