Melilla 4-3 Granada II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.38
Over 2.5
36%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
15%
7.1
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
69%
-5.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
31%
+5.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.1pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melilla EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada II EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.04/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.00
-23% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melilla
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Granada II
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2024 Granada II Granada II 0-1 HT 0-0 Melilla Melilla İS3
06.02.2022 Granada II Granada II 1-0 HT 1-0 Melilla Melilla İS4
18.09.2021 Melilla Melilla 1-3 HT 0-0 Granada II Granada II İS4
06.08.2018 Granada II Granada II 2-0 HT 1-0 Melilla Melilla HAZ
26.01.2014 Granada II Granada II 7-0 HT 2-0 Melilla Melilla İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melilla
4-3
AWAY Granada II
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Melilla vs Granada II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melilla squeezed past Granada II 4-3. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Melilla as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Melilla had 50% of the ball to Granada II's 50%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Granada II led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Melilla and 2.60 for Granada II.

What was the final score of Melilla vs Granada II?

Melilla 4-3 Granada II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melilla vs Granada II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Melilla 43%, draw 28%, Granada II 29%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melilla) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melilla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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