FC Andorra 1-1 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.17
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.78
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.7pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Andorra EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.51/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.68
+11% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +82%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Andorra
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ponferradina
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.72 xG 0.53
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
602 Passes 213
92% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 6
22.04.2023 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-4 HT 0-2 FC Andorra FC Andorra İS2
29.10.2022 FC Andorra FC Andorra 3-0 HT 2-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Andorra
1-1
AWAY Ponferradina
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Andorra vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Andorra and Ponferradina couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Andorra at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, FC Andorra had 55% of the ball to Ponferradina's 45%, shots finished 14-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, FC Andorra had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for FC Andorra and 0.50 for Ponferradina.

What was the final score of FC Andorra vs Ponferradina?

FC Andorra 1-1 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Andorra vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Andorra win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Andorra 43%, draw 28%, Ponferradina 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Andorra), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Andorra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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