Lugo 0-0 Barakaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.13
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugo EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -25%
1.18/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.92
-13% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugo
0-0
AWAY Barakaldo
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lugo vs Barakaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugo and Barakaldo fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Lugo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Lugo had 48% of the ball to Barakaldo's 52%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Lugo vs Barakaldo?

Lugo 0-0 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugo vs Barakaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lugo 42%, draw 30%, Barakaldo 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lugo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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