Real Murcia 2-0 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.77
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.0pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.24/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.37
-17% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Murcia
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Merida AD
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
18.05.2024 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
21.10.2023 Merida AD Merida AD 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
01.03.2020 Merida AD Merida AD 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
13.10.2019 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-0 HT 1-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Murcia
2-0
AWAY Merida AD
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Murcia vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia beat Merida AD 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Murcia as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Murcia had 43% of the ball to Merida AD's 57%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Real Murcia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Real Murcia and 0.50 for Merida AD.

What was the final score of Real Murcia vs Merida AD?

Real Murcia 2-0 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Murcia vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Real Murcia 48%, draw 27%, Merida AD 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Murcia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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