Real Murcia 1-1 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.6
No
59%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.78
6+ Goals
10%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-14.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+11.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
34%
+7.0pp
59%
BTTS No
66%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 14%
-12% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +26%
1.33/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.03
-24% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +66%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Murcia
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Merida AD
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
7 Yellow Cards 5
21.10.2023 Merida AD Merida AD 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
01.03.2020 Merida AD Merida AD 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
13.10.2019 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-0 HT 1-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Murcia
1-1
AWAY Merida AD
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Murcia vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia and Merida AD couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Real Murcia at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Real Murcia had 62% of the ball to Merida AD's 38%, shots finished 17-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Murcia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Murcia and 0.33 for Merida AD.

What was the final score of Real Murcia vs Merida AD?

Real Murcia 1-1 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Murcia vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Real Murcia 52%, draw 25%, Merida AD 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Murcia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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