Ceuta 4-0 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 18 May 2024

Ceuta
4-0 HT 1-0
Atletico Madrid II
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2023/2024

Ceuta vs Atletico Madrid II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.26
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
14.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ceuta v Atletico Madrid II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.91/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.79
+10% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.1

Ceuta vs Atletico Madrid II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceuta
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.09.2023 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 1-3 HT 0-2 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta ran out comfortable winners over Atletico Madrid II 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ceuta as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs Atletico Madrid II?

Ceuta 4-0 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 52%, draw 24%, Atletico Madrid II 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceuta), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ceuta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
18 May 2024
18:00 Real Sociedad II vs Deportivo La Coruna Analysis →
20:00 Real Union vs Fuenlabrada Analysis →
20:00 UD Ibiza vs Cordoba Analysis →
20:00 Teruel vs Osasuna II Analysis →
20:00 Melilla vs Atletico Baleares Analysis →
20:00 Sestao River vs Tarazona Analysis →