Melilla 2-0 Atletico Baleares — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.91
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.6pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melilla EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
1.82/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.64
+21% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melilla
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Baleares
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 1-0 HT 1-0 Melilla Melilla İS3
08.12.2019 Melilla Melilla 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
POST-MATCH Melilla vs Atletico Baleares
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melilla beat Atletico Baleares 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Melilla as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Baleares led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Melilla and 0.50 for Atletico Baleares.

What was the final score of Melilla vs Atletico Baleares?

Melilla 2-0 Atletico Baleares in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melilla vs Atletico Baleares?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Melilla 48%, draw 28%, Atletico Baleares 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melilla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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