Sestao River 1-1 Tarazona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.26
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
13%
5.45
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
49%
+5.1pp
23%
Draw
30%
-6.5pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.6pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestao River EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tarazona EU Bookmakers 24%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.36/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.13
-10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
273 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 11.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestao River
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Tarazona
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Tarazona Tarazona 3-0 HT 2-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
22.01.2023 Tarazona Tarazona 2-1 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS4
04.09.2022 Sestao River Sestao River 1-0 HT 1-0 Tarazona Tarazona İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestao River
1-1
AWAY Tarazona
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sestao River vs Tarazona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestao River and Tarazona shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sestao River at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Sestao River had 65% of the ball to Tarazona's 35%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tarazona led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sestao River and 1.67 for Tarazona.

What was the final score of Sestao River vs Tarazona?

Sestao River 1-1 Tarazona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Tarazona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 54%, draw 23%, Tarazona 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sestao River), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sestao River) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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