Alcoyano vs Merida AD Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alcoyano v Merida AD — Team-Based Signals
Alcoyano vs Merida AD Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Alcoyano 2-3 Merida AD — Actual Match Statistics
Merida AD edged past Alcoyano 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Alcoyano at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alcoyano had 53% of the ball to Merida AD's 47%, shots finished 17-15.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alcoyano had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alcoyano and 1.00 for Merida AD.
What was the final score of Alcoyano vs Merida AD?
Alcoyano 2-3 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alcoyano vs Merida AD?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alcoyano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alcoyano 41%, draw 27%, Merida AD 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.