Merida AD 2-2 Alcoyano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.75
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.11/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.93
-12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
317 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merida AD
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Alcoyano
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Merida AD Merida AD 1-3 HT 0-1 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
03.01.2024 Alcoyano Alcoyano 1-0 HT 1-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
2-2
AWAY Alcoyano
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Alcoyano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD and Alcoyano shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Merida AD had 58% of the ball to Alcoyano's 42%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alcoyano led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Merida AD and 2.00 for Alcoyano.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Alcoyano?

Merida AD 2-2 Alcoyano in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Alcoyano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 36%, draw 30%, Alcoyano 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Merida AD) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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