27/10/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Tarazona vs Amorebieta Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
29%
Draw
29%
28%
Away Win
27%
60%
Under 2.5
64%
40%
Over 2.5
36%
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
57%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tarazona v Amorebieta — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tarazona
EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY
Amorebieta
EU Bookmakers 30%
+11% /
+11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+6% /
+13%
1.52/0.67
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.91/1.25
+12%
/
+33%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-4%
/
-1%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
234 · 68%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
270 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.3
Yellow Cards
2.3
POST-MATCH
Tarazona vs Amorebieta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tarazona ran out comfortable winners over Amorebieta 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tarazona as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.
What was the final score of Tarazona vs Amorebieta?
Tarazona 3-0 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tarazona vs Amorebieta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tarazona win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tarazona 43%, draw 29%, Amorebieta 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tarazona), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Tarazona)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İS3
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27 Oct 2024