Real Madrid II 1-1 Algeciras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Oct 2024

Real Madrid II
1-1 HT 1-0
Algeciras
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2024/2025

Real Madrid II vs Algeciras Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.62
Over 2.5
35%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.54
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.65
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 33% vs market 33.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.5pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.9pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
58%
+7.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
42%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madrid II v Algeciras — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Algeciras EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.87/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.08
+28% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3

Real Madrid II vs Algeciras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Algeciras
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Algeciras Algeciras 3-0 HT 1-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
19.11.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 1-2 HT 1-2 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
27.05.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
08.01.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-1 HT 0-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
21.05.2022 Algeciras Algeciras 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
14.11.2021 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-0 HT 1-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3

Real Madrid II 1-1 Algeciras — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid II
1-1
AWAY Algeciras
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Madrid II vs Algeciras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid II and Algeciras shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Real Madrid II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Real Madrid II had 48% of the ball to Algeciras's 52%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Madrid II and 1.17 for Algeciras.

What was the final score of Real Madrid II vs Algeciras?

Real Madrid II 1-1 Algeciras in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid II vs Algeciras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid II 44%, draw 32%, Algeciras 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Madrid II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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