Osasuna II 0-1 Lugo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.33
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugo EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.29/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.80
+14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Lugo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Lugo Lugo 1-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
08.10.2023 Osasuna II Osasuna II 1-2 HT 0-1 Lugo Lugo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna II
0-1
AWAY Lugo
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Osasuna II vs Lugo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugo nicked a narrow win over Osasuna II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Lugo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Osasuna II had 62% of the ball to Lugo's 38%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lugo led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Osasuna II and 1.50 for Lugo.

What was the final score of Osasuna II vs Lugo?

Osasuna II 0-1 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna II vs Lugo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Osasuna II 36%, draw 31%, Lugo 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Osasuna II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osasuna II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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