Lugo 1-1 Osasuna II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
4.96
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
0.99/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.62
-27% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
418 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Osasuna II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.10.2023 Osasuna II Osasuna II 1-2 HT 0-1 Lugo Lugo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugo
1-1
AWAY Osasuna II
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 14
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lugo vs Osasuna II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugo and Osasuna II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lugo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lugo had 55% of the ball to Osasuna II's 45%, shots finished 11-19.

What was the final score of Lugo vs Osasuna II?

Lugo 1-1 Osasuna II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugo vs Osasuna II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lugo 41%, draw 25%, Osasuna II 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lugo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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