CD Castellon 2-2 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.97
Over 2.5
60%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.03
No
46%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.56
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.3
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
67%
-6.1pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.1pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
47%
-7.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
53%
+7.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
+8.5pp
46%
BTTS No
55%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.76/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.59
+2% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ceuta
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.10.2023 Ceuta Ceuta 1-3 HT 1-2 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
2-2
AWAY Ceuta
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon and Ceuta shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. CD Castellon carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CD Castellon had 61% of the ball to Ceuta's 39%, shots finished 18-14.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Ceuta?

CD Castellon 2-2 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Ceuta?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 60%, draw 19%, Ceuta 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Castellon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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