Melilla 1-0 Malaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 Feb 2024

Melilla
1-0 HT 0-0
Malaga
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2023/2024

Melilla vs Malaga Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.71
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+7.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.5pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melilla v Malaga — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melilla EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Malaga EU Bookmakers 53%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.90/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.03
-11% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 466 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.5

Melilla vs Malaga Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melilla
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Malaga
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.10.2023 Malaga Malaga 1-0 HT 1-0 Melilla Melilla İS3
POST-MATCH Melilla vs Malaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melilla edged past Malaga 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Malaga at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Melilla vs Malaga?

Melilla 1-0 Malaga in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melilla vs Malaga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Melilla 30%, draw 25%, Malaga 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Malaga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malaga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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