Fuenlabrada 3-1 Sestao River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.11
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.86
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.7pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestao River EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.31/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.74
-14% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuenlabrada
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sestao River
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
19.11.2023 Sestao River Sestao River 1-2 HT 0-0 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada İS3
02.03.2014 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada 0-1 HT 0-1 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fuenlabrada
3-1
AWAY Sestao River
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fuenlabrada vs Sestao River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuenlabrada saw off Sestao River 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fuenlabrada as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fuenlabrada had 50% of the ball to Sestao River's 50%, shots finished 17-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fuenlabrada and 1.00 for Sestao River.

What was the final score of Fuenlabrada vs Sestao River?

Fuenlabrada 3-1 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuenlabrada vs Sestao River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fuenlabrada win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fuenlabrada 41%, draw 31%, Sestao River 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fuenlabrada) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fuenlabrada) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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