Villarreal II 0-1 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.47
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
38%
+8.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-6.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 36%
+15% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +28%
1.48/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.80
+19% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal II
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Real Murcia
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
23.03.2012 Villarreal II Villarreal II 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
22.10.2011 Real Murcia Real Murcia 3-1 HT 2-1 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
15.05.2010 Real Murcia Real Murcia 2-2 HT 2-1 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
12.12.2009 Villarreal II Villarreal II 2-1 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal II
0-1
AWAY Real Murcia
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Villarreal II vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia squeezed past Villarreal II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Villarreal II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Villarreal II had 51% of the ball to Real Murcia's 49%, shots finished 19-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Villarreal II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Villarreal II and 1.50 for Real Murcia.

What was the final score of Villarreal II vs Real Murcia?

Villarreal II 0-1 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal II vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Villarreal II 47%, draw 27%, Real Murcia 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Villarreal II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villarreal II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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