Cultural Leonesa 2-0 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.44
Over 2.5
40%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
6.28
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.8pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
66%
-6.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
34%
+6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.1pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.47/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/0.65
+8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +91%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural Leonesa
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Ponferradina
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 0-0 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
29.10.2023 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-2 HT 1-2 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
02.08.2017 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-0 HT 1-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural Leonesa
2-0
AWAY Ponferradina
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cultural Leonesa vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural Leonesa saw off Ponferradina 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Cultural Leonesa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Cultural Leonesa had 61% of the ball to Ponferradina's 39%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cultural Leonesa and 0.67 for Ponferradina.

What was the final score of Cultural Leonesa vs Ponferradina?

Cultural Leonesa 2-0 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural Leonesa vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural Leonesa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cultural Leonesa 40%, draw 32%, Ponferradina 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural Leonesa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cultural Leonesa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
27 Oct 2024
14:00 Osasuna II vs Lugo Analysis →
14:00 FC Andorra vs Real Sociedad II Analysis →
14:00 Villarreal II vs Real Murcia Analysis →
14:00 Real Madrid II vs Algeciras Analysis →
17:30 Tarazona vs Amorebieta Analysis →
17:30 Recreativo Huelva vs Alcorcon Analysis →