Algeciras 3-0 Real Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.27
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
15%
5.24
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.7pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 42%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -6%
0.89/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.35
-17% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
250 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Madrid II
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 1-2 HT 1-2 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
27.05.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
08.01.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-1 HT 0-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
21.05.2022 Algeciras Algeciras 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
14.11.2021 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-0 HT 1-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
3-0
AWAY Real Madrid II
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Real Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algeciras swept aside Real Madrid II 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Algeciras made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Algeciras had 37% of the ball to Real Madrid II's 63%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Real Madrid II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Algeciras and 1.40 for Real Madrid II.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Real Madrid II?

Algeciras 3-0 Real Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Real Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algeciras win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 37%, draw 32%, Real Madrid II 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Algeciras), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Algeciras) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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