Real Sociedad II 0-1 Sabadell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.38
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.92
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabadell EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.55/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.44
+14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.4 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad II
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Sabadell
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 0.55
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
273 Passes 254
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.11.2023 Sabadell Sabadell 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
02.04.2023 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 1-1 HT 0-0 Sabadell Sabadell İS3
05.11.2022 Sabadell Sabadell 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad II
0-1
AWAY Sabadell
0.83 xG 0.72
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 0
493 Passes 290
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad II vs Sabadell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabadell edged past Real Sociedad II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Real Sociedad II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Sociedad II had 59% of the ball to Sabadell's 41%, shots finished 12-3, expected goals 0.83 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Real Sociedad II and 1.00 for Sabadell.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad II vs Sabadell?

Real Sociedad II 0-1 Sabadell in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad II vs Sabadell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad II 44%, draw 26%, Sabadell 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Sociedad II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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