Teruel 1-2 Lugo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 Feb 2024

Teruel
1-2 HT 0-0
Lugo
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
38%
2.77
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.36
Over 2.5
30%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.44
No
67%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
1.8
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
13%
7.85
6+ Goals
5%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.8pp
38%
Draw
33%
+4.5pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.7pp
70%
Under 2.5
70%
+0.4pp
30%
Over 2.5
30%
-0.4pp
33%
BTTS Yes
37%
-3.7pp
67%
BTTS No
63%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teruel EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugo EU Bookmakers 36%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.29/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.62
-74% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +78%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teruel
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lugo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2 Corners 5
27.08.2023 Lugo Lugo 2-1 HT 1-1 Teruel Teruel İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teruel
1-2
AWAY Lugo
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Teruel vs Lugo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugo squeezed past Teruel 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 38% / 31%) promised a tight game; Lugo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Teruel had 59% of the ball to Lugo's 41%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Teruel vs Lugo?

Teruel 1-2 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teruel vs Lugo?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Teruel 31%, draw 38%, Lugo 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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