Merida AD 2-1 CD Castellon — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Spain - Primera Federación, 17 Feb 2024

Merida AD WLDDW→
2 - 1 HT 1 - 0
CD Castellon WWWDD→
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Spain - Primera Federación – 2023/2024

Merida AD vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.43
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
57%
1.7
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
60%
1.66
Over
40%
2.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.08
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.55
2-3
48%
1.75
4-5
16%
4.52
6+
3%
24.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
18%
2/1
1%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Merida AD v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Merida AD The Market 23%
Signal
AWAY CD Castellon The Market 59%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
0.84 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.89
1.33 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.78
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Average
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
194 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 528 · 87%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4 Yellow Cards 2

Merida AD vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merida AD
0W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Castellon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.09.2023 CD Castellon CD Castellon 5-1 HT 3-1 Merida AD Merida AD İS3

Merida AD 2-1 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
2 - 1
AWAY CD Castellon
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Merida AD vs CD Castellon
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Merida AD edged past CD Castellon 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. CD Castellon carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Merida AD had 38% of the ball to CD Castellon's 62%, shots finished 14-3.

Merida AD vs CD Castellon Result & Final Score

Merida AD 2 - 1 CD Castellon in the Spain - Primera Federación on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Merida AD vs CD Castellon Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 17%, draw 26%, CD Castellon 57%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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