Merida AD vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Merida AD v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals
Merida AD vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
5-1
HT 3-1
Merida AD
İS3
Merida AD 2-1 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics
Merida AD edged past CD Castellon 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was CD Castellon at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Merida AD had 38% of the ball to CD Castellon's 62%, shots finished 14-3.
What was the final score of Merida AD vs CD Castellon?
Merida AD 2-1 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Merida AD vs CD Castellon?
Before kick-off our model rated an CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 25%, draw 25%, CD Castellon 50%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.