Merida AD 1-3 Alcoyano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.25
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -15%
0.81/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.36
-28% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
374 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merida AD
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Alcoyano
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.01.2024 Alcoyano Alcoyano 1-0 HT 1-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
1-3
AWAY Alcoyano
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Alcoyano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcoyano saw off Merida AD 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Alcoyano found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Merida AD had 51% of the ball to Alcoyano's 49%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Alcoyano?

Merida AD 1-3 Alcoyano in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Alcoyano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alcoyano win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 34%, draw 31%, Alcoyano 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcoyano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alcoyano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
16 Mar 2024
18:00 Algeciras vs Linares Deportivo Analysis →
18:00 Fuenlabrada vs Tarazona Analysis →
18:00 Teruel vs Barcelona II Analysis →
18:00 Unionistas vs Osasuna II Analysis →
19:00 Cornella vs Gimnastic Tarragona Analysis →
20:00 CD Castellon vs Cordoba Analysis →