Alcoyano 1-0 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 3 Jan 2024

📅03/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.52
6+ Goals
8%
37.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.5pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 22%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.54/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.28
-5% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
299 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcoyano
1-0
AWAY Merida AD
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alcoyano vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcoyano nicked a narrow win over Merida AD 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alcoyano as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Alcoyano had 51% of the ball to Merida AD's 49%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Alcoyano vs Merida AD?

Alcoyano 1-0 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcoyano vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcoyano win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alcoyano 46%, draw 28%, Merida AD 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcoyano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alcoyano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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