Ponferradina 2-1 Arenteiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 3 Jan 2024

📅03/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
5.18
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+10.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.99/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.99
-39% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
300 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponferradina
2-1
AWAY Arenteiro
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ponferradina vs Arenteiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina edged past Arenteiro 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ponferradina as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ponferradina had 51% of the ball to Arenteiro's 49%, shots finished 20-14.

What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Arenteiro?

Ponferradina 2-1 Arenteiro in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Arenteiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 44%, draw 26%, Arenteiro 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
3 Jan 2024
18:00 Atletico Sanluqueno vs CD Castellon Analysis →
18:30 UD Ibiza vs San Fernando Analysis →
19:00 Antequera vs Ceuta Analysis →
21:00 Real Union vs Sestao River Analysis →
21:00 Alcoyano vs Merida AD Analysis →
21:30 Teruel vs Cultural Leonesa Analysis →