Atletico Sanluqueno 0-2 CD Castellon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 3 Jan 2024

📅03/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.65
6+ Goals
8%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 33% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.5pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Sanluqueno EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 57%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.20/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.99
+24% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
226 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Sanluqueno
1W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Castellon
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 5
26.01.2022 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3
17.09.2021 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Sanluqueno
0-2
AWAY CD Castellon
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Sanluqueno vs CD Castellon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon saw off Atletico Sanluqueno 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Castellon as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Sanluqueno had 51% of the ball to CD Castellon's 49%, shots finished 14-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atletico Sanluqueno and 0.50 for CD Castellon.

What was the final score of Atletico Sanluqueno vs CD Castellon?

Atletico Sanluqueno 0-2 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Sanluqueno vs CD Castellon?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atletico Sanluqueno 25%, draw 26%, CD Castellon 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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